Monday, March 30, 2020

mortality, a complex data to calculate

Must read

Local elections in Bavaria: The party book counts little – Bavaria

The runoff election in times of the Corona crisis shows that it does not really matter which party a candidate belongs to. But people...

Test – This is the best oat milk style

Cow's milk does not have a good lobby, which is also why oat-based milk replacement is very popular with vegans and climate activists. We...

In the Sahel, a European force to support the Malian army

A "task force" for the Sahel. Nine months...

DECRYPTION – The fatality rate for Covid-19 is 3 to 4% globally, according to the WHO. But it turns out to be difficult to agree on such figures in the midst of an epidemic.

Porters move coffins to a church in Lombardy, Italy, Thursday, March 26, during containment ordered to fight the Covid-19 epidemic.
Porters move coffins to a church in Lombardy, Italy, Thursday, March 26, during containment ordered to fight the Covid-19 epidemic. PIERO CRUCIATTI / AFP

Barely 0.2% of mortality in Israel against 12.8% in Bangladesh or 9.9% in Italy… and 4.9% in France. Covid-19 case fatality rates published by the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford vary widely across countries. Also in time: from 17.3% of patients diagnosed in the first ten days of January in China, it fell to 0.7% in February, according to the World Health Organization. Why? On paper, things are simple: divide the number of deaths by the number of cases, you will get a “crude death rate”. It is 3 to 4 percent globally, according to the WHO. Which immediately specifies: “The true mortality of the Covid-19 will take time to be fully understood”.

The death rate from a new pathogen is actually very complex to calculate in the midst of an epidemic. However, this is essential data to follow live the evolution of the epidemic, and in particular to judge the extent of the measures to be taken. A mortality rate

This article is for subscribers only. You have 75% left at
        discover.

Subscribe: € 1 for 2 months

cancellable at any time

.

- Advertisement -

More articles

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

- Advertisement -

Latest article

Local elections in Bavaria: The party book counts little – Bavaria

The runoff election in times of the Corona crisis shows that it does not really matter which party a candidate belongs to. But people...

Test – This is the best oat milk style

Cow's milk does not have a good lobby, which is also why oat-based milk replacement is very popular with vegans and climate activists. We...

In the Sahel, a European force to support the Malian army

A "task force" for the Sahel. Nine months...