14 trends tracked about this subject — the full history, oldest to newest below.
Government officials and campaign staff face new restrictions on using nonpublic information to wager on election prediction markets.
Financial firms including Goldman Sachs are restricting employee use of prediction markets to mitigate rising insider trading risks.
A Midtown tower is now safe for repairs after fears of collapse, while Kalshi faces legal setbacks in New York.
The 2026 World Cup has propelled prediction market trading volumes to record heights, with leading platforms seeing multi-billion dollar surges.
Spotify has deleted 500,000 streams of a chart-topping song following suspected manipulation tied to prediction market betting on Kalshi and Polymarket.
The SEC is reviewing ETF rules amid a surge in crypto funds and prediction markets.
A Michigan judge has issued a temporary restraining order halting Kalshi from offering sports bets and event contracts to state residents.
The C.F.T.C. has launched an investigation into prediction market platform Polymarket following pressure from lawmakers.
Lawmakers and regulators are scrutinizing Polymarket over allegations of deceptive advertising.
Meta is developing an AI-powered prediction market app called Arena, sparking immediate volatility for competing trading and betting platforms.
New polling suggests a growing divide in American public opinion regarding the legality of election-based prediction markets.
Polymarket faces accusations of fabricating winning bets and using paid influencers to drive viral growth during a period of record open interest.
Prediction markets and investors are speculating on a potential megamerger between SpaceX and Tesla as stock fluctuations drive interest.
Kalshi's rapid revenue growth and potential IPO are drawing attention from investors and industry watchers.