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Rocket launch costs have dropped 96% since 1960. How low can they go?

A new comprehensive dataset reveals rocket launch costs have plummeted 96% since 1960, with projections suggesting further drastic declines by 2030.

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The brief

Launch costs for space cargo are trending downward following the publication of a dataset covering 4,400 rockets flown since 1960. Research by Cambridge economist Alessio Terzi and colleagues indicates that the cost to put one kilogram into orbit is projected to drop from $3,868 last year to $27.

Coverage from Space Daily, SingularityHub, and Space highlights the historical 96% decrease in costs. Mobility Engineering Technology reports that space cargo launch costs are specifically expected to fall by 50 percent by 2030, while heise online compares SpaceX to the East India Company of the current era.

Future developments center on whether costs can continue to decline. Analysts are monitoring the trajectory toward the projected $27 per kilogram orbit price point.

Synthesized by Archynetys from the headlines below under a strict no-invention contract. ✓ fact-checked: all claims supported by sources Updated 6h ago.

Quick answers

How much have launch costs dropped since 1960?

According to coverage from SingularityHub and Space, rocket launch costs have fallen 96% since 1960.

What is the projected cost per kilogram for orbit?

Economist Alessio Terzi and colleagues project the price will fall to $27 from last year's $3,868.

What is the expectation for cargo launch costs by 2030?

Mobility Engineering Technology reports that a new study expects these costs to fall by 50 percent by 2030.

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